Jun 22 2020
As promised in our previous post, we will also publish predictions for the so called preliminary round, which determines the teams and seeding for the 16 team playoffs. In fact, as the postseason progresses, we'll post series winner predictions and odds for all playoff rounds, but let's start with the preliminary matches next in line.
The winners of the preliminary round series will advance to the first round of the 2020 playoffs - the losers are out. Our predictions are derived from '19 - '20 regular season performance. For further information, read how we predict the postseason here.
|Pittsburgh Penguins||51.5 %||1.94|
|Montreal Canadiens||48.5 %||2.06|
|New York Rangers||50.9 %||1.96|
|Carolina Hurricanes||49.1 %||2.04|
|Florida Panthers||50.65 %||1.97|
|New York Islanders||49.35 %||2.03|
|Toronto Maple Leafs||51.91 %||1.93|
|Columbus Blue Jackets||48.09 %||2.08|
|Edmonton Oilers||50.94 %||1.96|
|Chicago Blackhawks||49.06 %||2.04|
|Nashville Predators||51.45 %||1.94|
|Arizona Coyotes||48.55 %||2.06|
|Vancouver Canucks||50.37 %||1.99|
|Minnesota Wild||49.63 %||2.01|
|Winnipeg Jets||51.2 %||1.95|
|Calgary Flames||48.8 %||2.05|
The Round-robin tournaments are played between the best four teams in both conferences, to determine seeding for the first playoff round. By definition, all teams will meet each other in turns in the Round-robin tournaments. The games are played with regular season overtime rules, and ties in the tournament standings are broken by regular season point percentage.
Once again, the predictions are calculated based on regular season performance only. Regular season games against teams within the tournament are prioritized more, as much as the sample size allows, but all other regular season games are analyzed too.
|Tampa Bay Lightning||26.52 %||3.77|
|Boston Bruins||24.94 %||4.01|
|Philadelphia Flyers||24.85 %||4.02|
|Washington Capitals||23.7 %||4.22|
|Colorado Avalanche||25.76 %||3.88|
|Vegas Golden Knights||25.34 %||3.95|
|St. Louis Blues||24.95 %||4.01|
|Dallas Stars||23.95 %||4.18|